Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1455 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13 Tomorrow

UA 1455 · NAS → IAH

departs 2:34 PM EST · arrives 4:57 PM CT

Forecast issued Thu 6:00 AM ET · 33h before departure

Arrive at IAH more than 15 minutes late?

18% chance · ±2 pts +1 pt · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to IAH?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 0.8 in of rain forecast at NAS that day

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into IAH at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

NAS (origin) Gusts15 kt Ceiling2,700 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.78 in

IAH (destination) Gusts7 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1455 · NAS → IAH

Odds over time

How late will it get to IAH?