Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1482 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

UA 1482 · SFO → ONT

departs 11:00 AM PT · arrives 12:37 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 64h before departure

Arrive at ONT more than 15 minutes late?

73% chance · ±12 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ONT?

On time or early
24%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
29%
Over 2 hours late
19%
Cancelled
10%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 44 kt, 0.7 in of rain forecast at SFO that day

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↑ 11am departures from SFO are often late

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts44 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.66 in

ONT (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling5,000 ft Visibility5 mi Precip0.06 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1482 · SFO → ONT

Odds over time

How late will it get to ONT?