Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1544 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13 Tomorrow

UA 1544 · ORD → RSW

departs 1:30 PM CT · arrives 5:29 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 12:00 PM ET · 26h before departure

Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?

24% chance · ±3 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RSW?

On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
2%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 1pm departures from ORD are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at ORD

↑ ORD is busy at that time

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

RSW (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling9,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1544 · ORD → RSW

Odds over time

How late will it get to RSW?