Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1580 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13 Tomorrow

UA 1580 · ORD → BOS

departs 12:58 PM CT · arrives 4:27 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 31h before departure

Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?

71% chance · ±2 pts +5 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to BOS?

On time or early
29%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
22%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at BOS that day

↑ Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late

↑ 12pm departures from ORD are often late

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

ORD (origin) Gusts18 kt Ceiling3,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.01 in

BOS (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling300 ft Visibility0.2 mi Precip0.51 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1580 · ORD → BOS

Odds over time

How late will it get to BOS?