Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1667 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

UA 1667 · TPA → EWR

departs 3:19 PM ET · arrives 6:07 PM ET

Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 65h before departure

Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±23 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to EWR?

On time or early
42%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
8%
1–2 hours late
25%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ Gusts to 26 kt forecast at EWR that day

↑ Arrivals into EWR at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at TPA

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

TPA (origin) Gusts19 kt Ceiling6,000 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

EWR (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceiling2,367 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.20 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1667 · TPA → EWR

Odds over time

How late will it get to EWR?