Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1934 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

UA 1934 · IAH → CLE

departs 2:35 PM CT · arrives 6:30 PM ET

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 42h before departure

Arrive at CLE more than 15 minutes late?

19% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to CLE?

On time or early
81%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
5%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from IAH are often late

↑ Mostly benign weather forecast at CLE

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at IAH

↓ CLE usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

IAH (origin) Gusts6 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

CLE (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling1,633 ft Visibility3.33333 mi Precip0.07 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1934 · IAH → CLE

Odds over time

How late will it get to CLE?