Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1967 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

UA 1967 · LGA → ORD

departs 2:29 PM ET · arrives 4:01 PM CT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 AM ET · 56h before departure

Arrive at ORD more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to ORD?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
11%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Cloud base down to 700 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.3 in of rain forecast at LGA that day

↑ Arrivals into ORD at that hour are often late

↑ 2pm departures from LGA are often late

↓ Other factors

↓ LGA is quiet at that time

Weather at each end

LGA (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling700 ft Visibility0.7 mi Precip0.30 in

ORD (destination) Gusts19 kt Ceiling4,600 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 1967 · LGA → ORD

Odds over time

How late will it get to ORD?