tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 1981 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 1981 · LAX → EWR

departs 11:15 AM PT · arrives 7:30 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Arrive at EWR more than 15 minutes late?
50% chance · ±14 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to EWR?

  1. On time or early
    49%
  2. 15–30 min late
    21%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    7%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    15%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    7%
  6. Cancelled
    <1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.