Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2184 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

UA 2184 · LAS → LAX

departs 2:15 PM PT · arrives 3:35 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 10:00 AM ET · 55h before departure

Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?

46% chance · ±15 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAX?

On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ 2pm departures from LAS are often late

↑ LAX is prone to delays

↑ LAS is prone to delays

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ This flight has been late 19% of the time recently

Weather at each end

LAS (origin) Gusts27 kt Ceiling9,667 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

LAX (destination) Gusts23 kt Ceiling2,900 ft Visibility6 mi Precip0.23 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2184 · LAS → LAX

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAX?