Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2485 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13 Tomorrow

UA 2485 · EWR → RDU

departs 3:30 PM ET · arrives 5:17 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at RDU more than 15 minutes late?

64% chance · ±3 pts +3 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to RDU?

On time or early
35%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 25 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 3pm departures from EWR are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at RDU

↓ Other factors

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts25 kt Ceiling500 ft Visibility0.5 mi Precip0.63 in

RDU (destination) Gusts14 kt Ceiling4,700 ft Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2485 · EWR → RDU

Odds over time

How late will it get to RDU?