Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 2624 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

UA 2624 · SFO → PDX

departs 10:32 AM PT · arrives 12:31 PM PT

Forecast issued Tue 6:00 PM ET · 68h before departure

Arrive at PDX more than 15 minutes late?

41% chance · ±10 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to PDX?

On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
19%
Over 2 hours late
8%
Cancelled
2%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ Gusts to 44 kt forecast at SFO that day

↑ 10am departures from SFO are often late

↑ SFO is prone to delays

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

↓ PDX usually runs smoothly

Weather at each end

SFO (origin) Gusts44 kt Ceiling2,500 ft Visibility10+ mi Precip0.04 in

PDX (destination) Gusts17 kt Ceiling4,800 ft Visibility8 mi Precip0.16 in

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 2624 · SFO → PDX

Odds over time

How late will it get to PDX?