tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 3796 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 3796 · EWR → MSN

departs 2:02 PM ET · arrives 3:52 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Arrive at MSN more than 15 minutes late?
41% chance · ±8 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 15% 30% 45% 60% 6.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to MSN?

  1. On time or early
    58%
  2. 15–30 min late
    15%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    9%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    12%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    6%
  6. Cancelled
    1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.