tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 433 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 433 · SFO → SEA

departs 2:16 PM PT · arrives 4:38 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 AM ET · 54h before departure
Arrive at SEA more than 15 minutes late?
73% chance · ±15 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.7d Now 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to SEA?

  1. On time or early
    25%
  2. 15–30 min late
    5%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    10%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    27%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    26%
  6. Cancelled
    7%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.