Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 676 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13

UA 676 · EWR → LAS

departs 5:31 PM ET · arrives 8:01 PM PT

Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 48h before departure

Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?

58% chance · ±13 pts – · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to LAS?

On time or early
41%
15–30 min late
10%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ EWR is prone to delays

↑ 5pm departures from EWR are often late

↑ Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.8 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at EWR that day

↓ Other factors

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

EWR (origin) Gusts23 kt Ceiling600 ft Visibility0.6 mi Precip0.36 in

LAS (destination) Gusts26 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

UA 676 · EWR → LAS

Odds over time

How late will it get to LAS?