tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

UNITED · FLIGHT UA 837 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

UA 837 · SFO → NRT

departs 11:02 AM PT · arrives 3:17 PM JST
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Arrive at NRT more than 15 minutes late?
60% chance · ±6 pts – · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 20% 40% 60% 80% 6.6d Now 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to NRT?

  1. On time or early
    37%
  2. 15–30 min late
    4%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    5%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    28%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    21%
  6. Cancelled
    5%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.