Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1094
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 1094 · SAN → DEN
departs 2:38 PM PT · arrives 5:59 PM MT
Forecast issued Wed 9:00 AM ET · 57h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Thu 11/12 33%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 41%
Mon 11/16 37%
Tue 11/17 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±0 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed – in 24h
–
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at DEN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DEN?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
2pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
Arrivals into DEN at that hour are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.17 in
DEN (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.