Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1172
SCHEDULED
Friday, November 13 Today
WN 1172 · BWI → SRQ
departs 5:28 PM ET · arrives 8:14 PM ET
Your aircraft is N456WN (B737), coming in as WN 1172 from PVD: still at PVD, due off about 5:13 PM ET, 51 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 2h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/15 23%
Mon 11/16 20%
Thu 11/19 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
+70 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
100%
Cancelled
12%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 169 min after the scheduled departure, about 156 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 100%.
+70 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 169 min after the scheduled departure, about 156 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 100%.
+52 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at SRQ more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 169 min after the scheduled departure, about 156 min late from the gate after a typical 13-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 99%.
+91 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +11 pts in 24h
+11 pts
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
How late will it get to SRQ?
On time or early
0%
15–30 min late
1%
30 min–1 hour late
0%
1–2 hours late
81%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
12%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
5pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
Other factors
↓
Gusts to 25 kt forecast at BWI that day
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 25 kt Ceiling 3,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
SRQ (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.