Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1190
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 1190 · BWI → DAL
departs 6:03 PM ET · arrives 8:29 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 51%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 41%
Sun 11/15 50%
Mon 11/16 32%
Tue 11/17 32%
Wed 11/18 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±6 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
56%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at DAL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 41% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Arrive at DAL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to DAL?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
6pm departures from BWI are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DAL
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,100 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip none
DAL (destination)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.