Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1336
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 1336 · ELP → AUS
departs 2:26 PM MT · arrives 5:09 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 17%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 33%
Mon 11/16 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
25%
chance · ±3 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
25%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 27% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
25%
Yes 25%
No 75%
Leave ELP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 33% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
75%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into AUS at that hour are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ELP (origin)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling 7,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.27 in
AUS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.