Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 149
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 149 · SJC → BUR
departs 11:03 AM PT · arrives 12:23 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 7:00 PM ET · 67h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 14%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 17%
Mon 11/16 15%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
24%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
24%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
5%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 14% · changed – in 24h
–
24%
Yes 24%
No 76%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed – in 24h
–
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
73%
15–30 min late
4%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
5%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Gusts to 34 kt forecast at SJC that day
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
↓
SJC usually runs smoothly
↓
Arrivals into BUR at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 34 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.24 in
BUR (destination)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.10 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.