Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1897
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 1897 · EUG → SJC
departs 12:31 PM PT · arrives 2:12 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 12:00 AM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 16%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 20%
Mon 11/16 20%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±5 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave EUG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
12%
30 min–1 hour late
16%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SJC that day
↑
0.4 in of rain forecast at EUG that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↓
EUG usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
EUG (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.39 in
SJC (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip 0.37 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.