Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1916 SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE

Friday, November 13 Tomorrow

WN 1916 · SAT → MCO

departs 3:57 PM CT · arrives 7:34 PM ET

Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 32h before departure

Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?

25% chance · ±2 pts +0 pts · 24h

HOW SURE WE ARE Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.

How late will it get to MCO?

On time or early
74%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
6%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.

What’s moving the odds

↑ WN's recent on-time record

↑ Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day

↑ Arrivals into MCO at that hour are often late

↓ Mostly benign weather forecast at SAT

↓ Fridays in November are usually quieter than average

Weather at each end

SAT (origin) Gusts8 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

MCO (destination) Gusts20 kt Ceilingnone (clear) Visibility10+ mi Precipnone

How this resolves

Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.

Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.

WN 1916 · SAT → MCO

Odds over time

How late will it get to MCO?