Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 1975
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 1975 · GEG → SAN
departs 10:51 AM PT · arrives 1:37 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 6:00 PM ET · 44h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 19%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 34%
Mon 11/16 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±3 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
27%
Arrive 1h+ late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave GEG more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Arrive at SAN more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
6%
Yes 6%
No 94%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SAN?
On time or early
67%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↑
This flight has been late 29% of the time recently
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at GEG
↓
GEG usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
GEG (origin)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling 400 ft Visibility 3 mi Precip none
SAN (destination)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 4,333 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.19 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.