Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2118
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 2118 · LAS → LAX
departs 2:11 PM PT · arrives 3:26 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 7:00 AM ET · 58h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 21%
Thu 11/12 41%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 59%
Mon 11/16 50%
Tue 11/17 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
68%
chance · ±13 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
68%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
68%
Yes 68%
No 32%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 44% · changed – in 24h
–
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at LAX more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed – in 24h
–
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAX?
On time or early
31%
15–30 min late
19%
30 min–1 hour late
31%
1–2 hours late
12%
Over 2 hours late
6%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
0.3 in of rain forecast at LAX that day
↑
2pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at LAS that day
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 9,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
LAX (destination)
Gusts 23 kt Ceiling 2,900 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.27 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.