Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2128
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 2128 · MCO → ISP
departs 8:06 PM ET · arrives 10:52 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 4:00 PM ET · 28h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 59%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 42%
Mon 11/16 40%
Tue 11/17 29%
Wed 11/18 29%
Odds over time
Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?
45%
chance · ±1 pts
−1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
45%
Leave 15+ late
55%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
45%
Yes 45%
No 55%
Leave MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 45% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
55%
Yes 55%
No 45%
Arrive at ISP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to ISP?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from MCO are often late
↑
Gusts to 27 kt, cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ISP that day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
MCO (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
ISP (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.47 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.