Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2224
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 2224 · IND → MDW
departs 5:26 PM ET · arrives 5:39 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 23%
Sun 11/15 34%
Mon 11/16 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
36%
chance · ±1 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
36%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
36%
Yes 36%
No 64%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
11%
1–2 hours late
4%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
Arrivals into MDW at that hour are often late
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.03 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip 0.11 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.