Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2234
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 2234 · CLE → LAS
departs 3:56 PM ET · arrives 5:21 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 8:00 AM ET · 56h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 26%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 38%
Mon 11/16 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±10 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
44%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave CLE more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Arrive at LAS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to LAS?
On time or early
54%
15–30 min late
23%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
CLE usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
CLE (origin)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 8.33333 mi Precip 0.07 in
LAS (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 9,667 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.