Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2239
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 2239 · ISP → MCO
departs 4:22 PM ET · arrives 7:10 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 39%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 24%
Sun 11/15 26%
Mon 11/16 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
47%
Arrive 1h+ late
16%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCO more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave ISP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
47%
Yes 47%
No 53%
Arrive at MCO more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
16%
Yes 16%
No 84%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MCO?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
13%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 0.3 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at ISP that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCO
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
ISP (origin)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 0.3 mi Precip 0.46 in
MCO (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.