Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2250
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 2250 · BWI → SJU
departs 8:04 PM ET · arrives 1:06 AM AT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 40%
Mon 11/16 28%
Tue 11/17 29%
Wed 11/18 28%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±6 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
54%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJU more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 47% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Arrive at SJU more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to SJU?
On time or early
63%
15–30 min late
11%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
8%
Over 2 hours late
1%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
8pm departures from BWI are often late
↑
Arrivals into SJU at that hour are often late
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 22 kt Ceiling 1,300 ft Visibility 9 mi Precip none
SJU (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.