Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2368
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 2368 · LAS → OAK
departs 12:22 PM PT · arrives 2:00 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 26%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 22%
Sun 11/15 36%
Mon 11/16 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
46%
chance · ±15 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
46%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
14%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
46%
Yes 46%
No 54%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
14%
Yes 14%
No 86%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
53%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
11%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 33 kt, 0.6 in of rain forecast at OAK that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from LAS are often late
↓
Gusts to 26 kt forecast at LAS that day
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
OAK (destination)
Gusts 33 kt Ceiling 2,500 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.58 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.