Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2380
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 2380 · DEN → BDL
departs 12:31 PM MT · arrives 6:14 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 33%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 31%
Mon 11/16 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
28%
chance · ±6 pts
+1 pt · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
28%
Leave 15+ late
30%
Arrive 1h+ late
4%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BDL more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 26% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Leave DEN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Arrive at BDL more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
4%
Yes 4%
No 96%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BDL?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
2%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Cloud base down to 600 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BDL that day
↑
12pm departures from DEN are often late
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at DEN
↓
BDL usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
DEN (origin)
Gusts 11 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BDL (destination)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 600 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip 0.36 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.