Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2397
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 2397 · LAS → FAT
departs 2:49 PM PT · arrives 4:11 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 1:00 PM ET · 29h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 32%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 46%
Mon 11/16 36%
Wed 11/18 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
54%
chance · ±5 pts
+6 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
54%
Leave 15+ late
52%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at FAT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
54%
Yes 54%
No 46%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed +9 pts in 24h
+9 pts
52%
Yes 52%
No 48%
Arrive at FAT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to FAT?
On time or early
46%
15–30 min late
18%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
2pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
LAS is prone to delays
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
FAT usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
FAT (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.43 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.