Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2580
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 2580 · LAS → BOI
departs 5:02 PM PT · arrives 7:53 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 AM ET · 36h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 38%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 30%
Sun 11/15 53%
Mon 11/16 42%
Tue 11/17 28%
Wed 11/18 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?
56%
chance · ±5 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
56%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
30%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.8d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 36% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
56%
Yes 56%
No 44%
Leave LAS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 51% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at BOI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 10% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
30%
Yes 30%
No 70%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BOI?
On time or early
43%
15–30 min late
5%
30 min–1 hour late
21%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
5pm departures from LAS are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
BOI usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LAS (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.01 in
BOI (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 4,900 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.04 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.