Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2602
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 2602 · LGB → OAK
departs 1:26 PM PT · arrives 2:56 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 25%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 18%
Sun 11/15 21%
Mon 11/16 14%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
34%
chance · ±7 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
34%
Leave 15+ late
38%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 16% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
34%
Yes 34%
No 66%
Leave LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
7%
30 min–1 hour late
18%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at OAK that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Early flights usually leave on time
↓
1pm departures from LGB are usually not late
↓
LGB usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
LGB (origin)
Gusts 21 kt Ceiling 3,467 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.41 in
OAK (destination)
Gusts 27 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.