Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2610
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 2610 · LGB → SJC
departs 11:26 AM PT · arrives 12:50 PM PT
Forecast issued Tue 10:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 13%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 16%
Mon 11/16 12%
Odds over time
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
27%
chance · ±8 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
27%
Leave 15+ late
28%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 12% · changed – in 24h
–
27%
Yes 27%
No 73%
Leave LGB more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 15% · changed – in 24h
–
28%
Yes 28%
No 72%
Arrive at SJC more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed – in 24h
–
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to SJC?
On time or early
71%
15–30 min late
6%
30 min–1 hour late
13%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 35 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at SJC that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at LGB
↓
11am departures from LGB are usually not late
↓
Arrivals into SJC at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
LGB (origin)
Gusts 14 kt Ceiling 4,400 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.12 in
SJC (destination)
Gusts 35 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 5 mi Precip 0.49 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.