Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2758
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 2758 · BOS → MDW
departs 4:25 PM ET · arrives 6:10 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 46%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 28%
Sun 11/15 34%
Mon 11/16 35%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
63%
chance · ±3 pts
+4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
63%
Leave 15+ late
73%
Arrive 1h+ late
38%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 23% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
73%
Yes 73%
No 27%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +12 pts in 24h
+12 pts
38%
Yes 38%
No 62%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
21%
30 min–1 hour late
3%
1–2 hours late
23%
Over 2 hours late
14%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 300 ft, visibility down to 0.2 mi, 0.5 in of rain forecast at BOS that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from BOS are often late
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
MDW usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 300 ft Visibility 0.2 mi Precip 0.51 in
MDW (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.21 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.