tailodds FORECAST

Schedule: FAA flight plans.

SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 284 SCHEDULED
Today

WN 284 · SAN → PHX

departs 2:08 PM PT · arrives 4:30 PM MT
Your aircraft is N8996Q (B38M), coming in as WN 4418 from SMF: still at SMF, due off about 12:45 PM PT, 15 min before departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Fri 4:00 PM ET · 1h before departure
Arrive at PHX more than 15 minutes late?
95% chance · ±0 pts +43 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE High. The odds now come mostly from live FAA and airport data.
MOSTLY HISTORY WEATHER FORECASTS LIVE IN THE AIR 0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 6.7d 2d 1d 12h 6h Departs Lands

How late will it get to PHX?

  1. On time or early
    4%
  2. 15–30 min late
    7%
  3. 30 min–1 hour late
    0%
  4. 1–2 hours late
    65%
  5. Over 2 hours late
    10%
  6. Cancelled
    13%

Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.