Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2973
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 2973 · BWI → BOS
departs 2:12 PM ET · arrives 3:41 PM ET
Forecast issued Tue 9:00 PM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 51%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 31%
Mon 11/16 36%
Odds over time
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
63%
chance · ±13 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
63%
Leave 15+ late
59%
Arrive 1h+ late
21%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
63%
Yes 63%
No 37%
Leave BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed – in 24h
–
59%
Yes 59%
No 41%
Arrive at BOS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed – in 24h
–
21%
Yes 21%
No 79%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to BOS?
On time or early
37%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
25%
1–2 hours late
16%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, cloud base down to 500 ft, visibility down to 2 mi, 0.6 in of rain forecast at BOS that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Arrivals into BOS at that hour are often late
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at BWI
Weather at each end
BWI (origin)
Gusts 24 kt Ceiling 4,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BOS (destination)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 500 ft Visibility 2 mi Precip 0.39 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.