Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2983
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 2983 · PHX → ABQ
departs 3:36 PM MT · arrives 4:55 PM MT
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 33h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 28%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 43%
Sun 11/15 36%
Mon 11/16 35%
Tue 11/17 24%
Wed 11/18 32%
Odds over time
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±5 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
51%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at ABQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +4 pts in 24h
+4 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Arrive at ABQ more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to ABQ?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
3pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
This flight has been late 24% of the time recently
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at ABQ
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.05 in
ABQ (destination)
Gusts 10 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.