Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 2987
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 2987 · SAN → IND
departs 1:16 PM PT · arrives 8:06 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 8:00 AM ET · 32h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 35%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 35%
Mon 11/16 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
42%
chance · ±3 pts
−2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
42%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
12%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 31% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 57%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 40% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at IND more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 7% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
12%
Yes 12%
No 88%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to IND?
On time or early
57%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
22%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
5%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at SAN
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
IND usually runs smoothly
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.27 in
IND (destination)
Gusts 17 kt Ceiling 700 ft Visibility 6 mi Precip 0.03 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.