Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 330
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 330 · SAN → MCI
departs 12:31 PM PT · arrives 5:43 PM CT
Forecast issued Tue 11:00 PM ET · 64h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 11/12 34%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 16%
Sun 11/15 32%
Mon 11/16 28%
Tue 11/17 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
33%
chance · ±5 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
33%
Leave 15+ late
43%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed – in 24h
–
33%
Yes 33%
No 67%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
43%
Yes 43%
No 57%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 6% · changed – in 24h
–
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
66%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
12%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
12pm departures from SAN are often late
↑
Arrivals into MCI at that hour are often late
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 5 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.