Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3390
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 3390 · PHX → AUS
departs 4:06 PM MT · arrives 7:26 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 1:00 AM ET · 65h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 20%
Thu 11/12 39%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 39%
Mon 11/16 33%
Tue 11/17 26%
Odds over time
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
44%
chance · ±3 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
44%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at AUS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 37% · changed – in 24h
–
44%
Yes 44%
No 56%
Leave PHX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 52% · changed – in 24h
–
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at AUS more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 9% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to AUS?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
17%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
7%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
4pm departures from PHX are often late
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at AUS
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
PHX (origin)
Gusts 15 kt Ceiling 4,700 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
AUS (destination)
Gusts 7 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.