Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 344
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 344 · ONT → OAK
departs 1:31 PM PT · arrives 2:59 PM PT
Forecast issued Thu 7:00 AM ET · 34h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 26%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 28%
Mon 11/16 25%
Odds over time
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
48%
chance · ±6 pts
−5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
48%
Leave 15+ late
35%
Arrive 1h+ late
8%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at OAK more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 24% · changed −5 pts in 24h
−5 pts
48%
Yes 48%
No 52%
Leave ONT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Arrive at OAK more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 4% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
8%
Yes 8%
No 92%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to OAK?
On time or early
51%
15–30 min late
20%
30 min–1 hour late
19%
1–2 hours late
5%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 28 kt, 0.5 in of rain forecast at OAK that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
1pm departures from ONT are often late
↓
Arrivals into OAK at that hour are usually not late
Weather at each end
ONT (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 3,500 ft Visibility 7 mi Precip 0.05 in
OAK (destination)
Gusts 28 kt Ceiling 2,700 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.46 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.