Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 349
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 349 · JAX → BWI
departs 3:31 PM ET · arrives 5:40 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 28%
Mon 11/16 21%
Odds over time
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
22%
chance · ±1 pts
+3 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
22%
Leave 15+ late
32%
Arrive 1h+ late
5%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
10%
20%
30%
40%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BWI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 20% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
22%
Yes 22%
No 78%
Leave JAX more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed +6 pts in 24h
+6 pts
32%
Yes 32%
No 68%
Arrive at BWI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 3% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
5%
Yes 5%
No 95%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to BWI?
On time or early
77%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
3%
Over 2 hours late
2%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
3pm departures from JAX are often late
↓
BWI usually runs smoothly
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at JAX
Weather at each end
JAX (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
BWI (destination)
Gusts 20 kt Ceiling 2,200 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.