Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3503
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 3503 · BOS → MCI
departs 2:26 PM ET · arrives 5:04 PM CT
Forecast issued Wed 10:00 PM ET · 40h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 51%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 33%
Mon 11/16 38%
Odds over time
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
51%
chance · ±1 pts
+5 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
51%
Leave 15+ late
58%
Arrive 1h+ late
18%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
20%
40%
60%
80%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MCI more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 25% · changed +5 pts in 24h
+5 pts
51%
Yes 51%
No 49%
Leave BOS more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
58%
Yes 58%
No 42%
Arrive at MCI more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −4 pts in 24h
−4 pts
18%
Yes 18%
No 82%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MCI?
On time or early
48%
15–30 min late
16%
30 min–1 hour late
17%
1–2 hours late
10%
Over 2 hours late
7%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 26 kt, cloud base down to 200 ft, visibility down to 0.5 mi, 0.4 in of rain forecast at BOS that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
This flight has been late 36% of the time recently
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at MCI
Weather at each end
BOS (origin)
Gusts 26 kt Ceiling 200 ft Visibility 0.5 mi Precip 0.45 in
MCI (destination)
Gusts 9 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.