Schedule: FAA flight plans.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3529
SCHEDULED
Friday, November 13 Today
WN 3529 · RNO → BUR
departs 2:19 PM PT · arrives 3:55 PM PT
Your aircraft is N7823A (B737), coming in as WN 450 from LAS: still at LAS, due off about 3:26 PM PT, 125 min after the scheduled departure (a tight turn, so this flight may leave late).
Forecast issued Fri 5:00 PM ET · 0h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today
Sun 11/15 31%
Mon 11/16 30%
Thu 11/19 33%
Odds over time
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
100%
chance · ±0 pts
−4 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Very high. The odds now come almost entirely from live conditions.
Arrive 15+ late
100%
Leave 15+ late
100%
Arrive 1h+ late
100%
Cancelled
3%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
25%
50%
75%
100%
6.7d
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at BUR more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 193 min after the scheduled departure, about 179 min late from the gate after a typical 14-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 42%.
−4 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Leave RNO more than 15 minutes late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 193 min after the scheduled departure, about 179 min late from the gate after a typical 14-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 48%.
−2 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Arrive at BUR more than an hour late?
The FAA now expects it to take off 193 min after the scheduled departure, about 179 min late from the gate after a typical 14-min taxi. Forecast before takeoff: 17%.
−4 pts
100%
Yes 100%
No 0%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: 1% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
3%
Yes 3%
No 97%
How late will it get to BUR?
On time or early
56%
15–30 min late
15%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
13%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
3%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at BUR
↑
Gusts to 31 kt forecast at RNO that day
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Other factors
Weather at each end
RNO (origin)
Gusts 31 kt Ceiling 6,000 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.09 in
BUR (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 2,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.12 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.