Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3574
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 3574 · SJC → PSP
departs 12:36 PM PT · arrives 2:07 PM PT
Forecast issued Wed 11:00 PM ET · 41h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 23%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 21%
Mon 11/16 17%
Odds over time
Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?
35%
chance · ±8 pts
+2 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
35%
Leave 15+ late
39%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
2%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PSP more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 22% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
35%
Yes 35%
No 65%
Leave SJC more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 28% · changed −3 pts in 24h
−3 pts
39%
Yes 39%
No 61%
Arrive at PSP more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
2%
Yes 2%
No 98%
How late will it get to PSP?
On time or early
64%
15–30 min late
13%
30 min–1 hour late
9%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
2%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
Gusts to 29 kt, 0.4 in of rain forecast at SJC that day
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
PSP is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at PSP
↓
12pm departures from SJC are usually not late
Weather at each end
SJC (origin)
Gusts 29 kt Ceiling 2,400 ft Visibility 4 mi Precip 0.37 in
PSP (destination)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling none (clear) Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.