Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3613
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 3613 · IND → RSW
departs 4:11 PM ET · arrives 6:42 PM ET
Forecast issued Thu 9:00 AM ET · 31h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 27%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 33%
Sun 11/15 41%
Mon 11/16 38%
Tue 11/17 28%
Wed 11/18 34%
Odds over time
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±6 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
10%
Cancelled
<1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.7d
2d
Now
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at RSW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 35% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave IND more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 42% · changed +3 pts in 24h
+3 pts
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at RSW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 8% · changed +2 pts in 24h
+2 pts
10%
Yes 10%
No 90%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
<1%
Yes <1%
No 99%
How late will it get to RSW?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
24%
30 min–1 hour late
7%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
<1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↑
RSW is prone to delays
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at RSW
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
IND (origin)
Gusts 17 kt
Ceiling 800 ft
Visibility 7 mi
Precip 0.03 in
RSW (destination)
Gusts 14 kt
Ceiling 7,000 ft
Visibility 10+ mi
Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.