Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 3729
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13
WN 3729 · SAN → PIT
departs 11:25 AM PT · arrives 6:46 PM ET
Forecast issued Wed 12:00 AM ET · 62h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Thu 11/12 34%
Fri 11/13
Sun 11/15 34%
Mon 11/16 30%
Odds over time
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
37%
chance · ±4 pts
– · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
37%
Leave 15+ late
42%
Arrive 1h+ late
9%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.6d
Now
2d
1d
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at PIT more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed – in 24h
–
37%
Yes 37%
No 63%
Leave SAN more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 32% · changed – in 24h
–
42%
Yes 42%
No 58%
Arrive at PIT more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed – in 24h
–
9%
Yes 9%
No 91%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed – in 24h
–
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to PIT?
On time or early
62%
15–30 min late
14%
30 min–1 hour late
14%
1–2 hours late
6%
Over 2 hours late
3%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
11am departures from SAN are often late
↑
This flight has been late 35% of the time recently
↓
PIT usually runs smoothly
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
Weather at each end
SAN (origin)
Gusts 16 kt Ceiling 2,600 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip 0.23 in
PIT (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,133 ft Visibility 5.66667 mi Precip none
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.