Schedule: the flights that flew on Friday, Nov 6, re-dated. Real flights replace these once airlines file their FAA flight plans, usually about a day ahead.
SOUTHWEST · FLIGHT WN 4110
SCHEDULED · TYPICAL SCHEDULE
Friday, November 13 Tomorrow
WN 4110 · SRQ → MDW
departs 6:27 PM ET · arrives 8:27 PM CT
Forecast issued Thu 5:00 PM ET · 25h before departure
Watch this flight
Other days
Today 97%
Fri 11/13
Sat 11/14 24%
Sun 11/15 38%
Mon 11/16 31%
Tue 11/17 21%
Wed 11/18 23%
Odds over time
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
41%
chance · ±2 pts
+0 pts · 24h
HOW SURE WE ARE
Moderate. The odds now blend history with early weather forecasts.
Arrive 15+ late
41%
Leave 15+ late
50%
Arrive 1h+ late
13%
Cancelled
1%
MOSTLY HISTORY
WEATHER FORECASTS
LIVE
IN THE AIR
0%
15%
30%
45%
60%
6.8d
2d
Now
12h
6h
Departs
Lands
Arrive at MDW more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 30% · changed +0 pts in 24h
+0 pts
41%
Yes 41%
No 59%
Leave SRQ more than 15 minutes late?
Calm-weather odds: 38% · changed −2 pts in 24h
−2 pts
50%
Yes 50%
No 50%
Arrive at MDW more than an hour late?
Calm-weather odds: 5% · changed +1 pt in 24h
+1 pt
13%
Yes 13%
No 87%
Cancelled?
Calm-weather odds: <1% · changed −1 pt in 24h
−1 pt
1%
Yes 1%
No 99%
How late will it get to MDW?
On time or early
58%
15–30 min late
8%
30 min–1 hour late
20%
1–2 hours late
9%
Over 2 hours late
4%
Cancelled
1%
Gate arrival compared with the scheduled arrival. The ranges add up to 100%.
What’s moving the odds
↑
WN's recent on-time record
↑
Mostly benign weather forecast at MDW
↑
Later flights pick up delays from earlier in the day
↓
Fridays in November are usually quieter than average
↓
Mostly benign weather forecast at SRQ
Weather at each end
SRQ (origin)
Gusts 19 kt Ceiling 10,000 ft Visibility 10+ mi Precip none
MDW (destination)
Gusts 18 kt Ceiling 1,800 ft Visibility 8 mi Precip 0.22 in
How this resolves
Yes if the gate arrival is more than 15 minutes after the scheduled arrival. Cancelled or diverted flights resolve N/A.
Every question here is display only — there is no betting or money involved. Gate times come from the airline; a cancellation resolves only the “Cancelled?” question, and a diversion voids the delay questions.